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SCO Assets for Settlement


SCO v The World

By ColonelZen, Section SCO Related Articles
Posted on Sat Dec 10th, 2005 at 15:11:37 EST

Just a summation and recapitulation of what there is to be "settled" in any settlement in the SCOX case.   This is slightly altered from 326629 on Y! SCOX.   The SCOX cases have dragged out so long that I think it worth reiterating for newcomers among our audience.

There are only a few things value that SCOX "owns":

  1. The remaining customer channels. This is a real asset but small and rapidly shrinking. It could be of value to RedHat or Novell, but will probably be extinct before the lawsuits are done.   I "feel" for these customers - much as one can "feel" for a business - as I've worked with a few of them.   Mostly they're "innocent" in all of this; a real company with a commitment to customers could help them even as they could become a future asset to SCOX's successor of their interest.

  2. The copyrights on Unixware and OpenServer products.  These are real but of not much value in the marketplace.  They should probably go wherever the customer channels go so that interfaces can be written to ease migration of customer data to Linux.

  3. The rights to negotiate SysV licenses.  This is de-facto valueless at this point as there is Linux for free and various flavors of BSD available if one wanted to create a proprietary unix.  It's conceivable someone could want to write a new code starting with SysV but it would require a large confluence of unlikely circumstances to be worthwhile.

  4. The remaining agency revenue from prior SysV licensees.   This is relatively small.  The license fee goes to Novell and a portion (5%)is returned to SCOX... at least that's how it is supposed to go according to the APA.   I'm not sure what has been happening lately.   It's almost a logical necessity that this, along with the new negotiation rights,  will revert to Novell at the end of it all.  

  5. The pure perception - worth brazillion$ - that SCOX has some right and privilege over anything and everything containing the letters "n" and "x". IBM will (very justifiably) not stop at anything short of the utter destruction of this idea. And because the "SCO" name became synonymous with this idea, that means destruction of anything contaminated with "SCO".

This last item, of course is why SCOX exists today at all.   It would have been bankrupt two years ago without it, and received $50 million in the pipe deal with BS and RBC.  That perception is what allowed all the FUD against Linux which was of value to Microsoft, which in turn appears to have instigated the pipe.  

6)  SCOX's NASDAQ listing and the interest of its holders in maintaining the illusion of value.  This illusion of value is quite interesting.  The holders seem grimly determined to hold the stock price around $4 and a nominal equity value of about $80M for the company... when the most optimistic assessment of it's real assets, even excluding the liability arising from the matters now under purview of the courts, is well under half of that.   And no-one even marginally sane pretends that there is anything of value (or anything at all, net, for that matter) to be won in the court cases.

This is obviously of some value to those insiders holding.  Quite possibly some still make money jockeying money between accounts.  Others may simply want to hold off writing it off as long as possible.  But all the large holders know that none of them can discard their holdings at any fraction of its titular value.

Actually it's of high entertainment value to watch the stock manipulation in support of that $4 stock price.  Personally I think the SEC hasn't moved on SCOX simply because they break down in hysterical giggles every time they think about it.

  1. Roughly $10M in cash.  With large question marks.  Some estimates had SCOX at cash bankruptcy on the last payment due to BSF this month (December 2005) when a "private placement" of two million unregistered shares of stock was "found".   There is some question of whether that 10M actually belongs to SCOX or whether that 2M shares was intended to pay off the BayStar pipe arrangement.

  2. Four(!) active court cases.   SCO vs IBM with counterclaims.  SCO vs Novell with counterclaims.  RedHat vs SCO.  SCO vs Autozone.   All of these look like losers for SCOX - possibly with some small technical wins, but none worth much in damages.  And the counterclaims are horrendous for SCOX with Lanham violations asserted by IBM and RedHat all but conceded in open court by SCOX's attorneys.   Sure losers all, but SCO vs IBM had "mojo" and the FUD value which brought MS's attention at the beginning.  The other cases are fallout from that one.

That, in sum, is what SCOX has, what SCOX is,  and what there is to be "settled".

-- TWZ

< More Cutting Edge Innovation from Microsoft (15 comments) | Could Microsoft's Stock Double in Price? (8 comments) >
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SCO Assets for Settlement | 7 comments (7 topical, 0 editorial, 2 hidden)
Re: SCO Assets for Settlement (4.50 / 4) (#2)
by hamjudo2000 on Sun Dec 11th, 2005 at 22:16:18 EST
(User Info)
SCOX has assigned some values for some of those assets in their 10-K and 10-Q filings with the SEC.

  1. As of July 31st, the book value of the reseller channel was $2,897k and depreciating at the rate of $579k per quarter.  It will be fully depreciated as of October 31st, 2006.  Book value is a way to somewhat simplify life for accounting and tax purposes.  Some things are worth far more than their book value, other things worth far less.

  2. As of July 31st, the book value of acquired technology was $421k.  It too will be fully depreciated as of October 31st, 2006.

  3. and 4. They aren't listed on the 10-Q in a form I can directly interpret.  However, they did record $32k in SCOsource licensing revenue for that quarter.  And $132k for the last 3 quarters combined.  I believe that is how they record their 5% of System V licensing revenue, plus other SCOsource revenue (if any).   That sets an upper limit for 3. and 4. combined per quarter.

  4. Near as I can tell, they did not assign a value to this in their 10-Q.  They did not report anything except per share values that was worth less than $1000, but that might be unrelated.

  5. Market Cap as of December 9th was $71,790k.  I believe it was just a few percent higher on July 31st, but check that.  The stock price does not appear rational after looking at SCOX's other numbers.

  6. SCOX will not need to file a 10-Q that shows the valuation including the $10million private  placement until 45 days after the end of the 1Q 2006.  So we won't know until mid-March 2006.  Don't believe anything you see in an unaudited press release.

  7. In the 10-Q for the quarter ending July 31st, 2005, SCOX had this disclaimer for their list of lawsuits "Pursuit and defense of the above-mentioned matters will be costly, and management expects the costs for legal fees and related expenses will be substantial. The ultimate outcome or potential effect on the Company's results of operations or financial position of the above-mentioned matters is not currently known or determinable."

For completeness, you should also include their "net property and equipment", which has a book value of $578k.  This stuff is interesting, because in the event of bankruptcy, this stuff would go up for auction.

  • Re: SCO Assets for Settlement by ColonelZen, 12/11/2005 22:52:45 EST (3.33 / 3)
    • Re: SCO Assets for Settlement by hamjudo2000, 12/11/2005 23:53:51 EST (3.66 / 3)
Re: SCO Assets for Settlement (4.00 / 4) (#1)
by stats4all on Sun Dec 11th, 2005 at 21:49:56 EST
(User Info)
 Brian Skiba has assigned some significant value to the SCO Me technology in a Sept. 05 Whitepaper on mobile enterprise he prepared for Arma Partners.

It is far too early to tell what the marketplace thinks.  A major Palm stockholder has prepared a competing whitepaper in Dec. 2005 that fails to mention SCO Me at all.  It assumes Blackberry-like messaging, which it calls "push email" in a awkward generic phrase, is the smart phone "killer app".  The wayoutwestmusic.com demo of SCO Me centered on its multimedia Blackberry-like use.

McBride has been trying to raise capital to launch SCO Me since at least May, 2005.  The delayed launch, lack of citation by Palm or its analysts, and internal capitalization, are all evidence that the Mobile market may not value SCO Me tremendously.

Palm will launch a Treo smartphone, running a Windows mobile OS in January, with a single network provider.  The SCO Me backend has been running on a Win32 version of Apache.  The wayoutwestmusic demo had network issues away from metropolitan areas, smartphones in general have had a network capability chicken-and-egg problem.

It looks like January may be the launch or die month for SCO Me.

  • Re: SCO Assets for Settlement by ColonelZen, 12/11/2005 22:44:56 EST (none / 2)
SCO Assets for Settlement | 7 comments (7 topical, 0 editorial, 2 hidden)
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